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How To Find High Quality Value Bets
By http://www.mysportsbookonline.info/

Many people, might rush out and start looking for the best among average bets that it will end up likely costing money if you aren't careful.

Therefore, be sure to institute these quality control measures and only place bets under certain conditions.

First, you should make sure that there are several odds offered so that you have a good selection of odds to average. (The more, the better).

But you'll also want to include other considerations as well:

Make sure the value bet is not on a complete outsider: Don't just look at the numbers, be sure to take into consideration what those numbers tell you. Perhaps you think you've found a killer deal that no one else has found. But if you look more closely, you might discover that it's not a matter of a favourite and an underdog, but rather of an experienced team and an inexperienced team. A silly example would be if an NFL team went up against a high school basketball team! The adolescent basketball players wouldn't stand a chance strapping on football equipment and going head-to-head with professional players. Obviously you won't see scenarios like that (or if you do, be sure to make the wise bet!) but there will be times when one team has a value bet… possibly because they are an outsider.

Watch for big names: On the one hand, you need to be careful about teams you've never heard of before, but on the other hand, don't go for the biggest and best team or the most famous team. When the favored team is playing, many more people bet and because of that, the bookmakers create shortened odds to compensate. As a result, the disparity between the odds of the two teams seems even greater… not because the odds are longer on the less favored team but because the odds are shorter on the favored team… meaning a false sense of value. That's not so say that you shouldn't bet on this, but that you should be careful.

Early lengthening: Bookmakers



stay in touch with what's going on in the game. It would be unwise, of course, to set odds months before a game and never review their accuracy. If a critical team mate were injured, that might have an impact on the game and therefore should have an impact on the odds. So bookmakers stay in touch with what's going on in the game and they adjust their odds accordingly. As a value bet seeker, you might notice that their odds are truly much longer than everyone else's and you may place your bet with them. However, bookmakers don't operate in a vacuum and if you had waited it out, you'd notice that most bookmakers would have adjusted their odds accordingly. The caution, then, is to avoid acting on the first impulse as soon as you see the most attractive odds. Try to determine when they were changed and the reasoning and if you can't figure that out, wait it out for a couple days (if possible) and see what happens among the other bookmakers.

Be careful if the true value multiple is too high: It can be easy to get excited about this but the most likely reason that this might happen is because one bookmaker is using a different handicapping system than another. Don't let one number stun you into action… keep your feet on the ground and think through every action before you take it.

This has been an excerpt from Robert Thatcher's flagstaff manual, the Statistical Betting Guide.

Sun Tzu said: "If you know the enemy and know yourself, your victory will not stand in doubt". Making money with sports betting has nothing to do with gambling. Do you want to learn the secret methods successful bettors apply each and every day?

Robert Thatcher explains in easy words how to make money with sports betting. Download your copy at http://www.statisticalbettingguide.com


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